An article points out the following shocking 15 percent decline in Chinese freight rail traffic in 2015 (red line):
Is this an indication of much lower GDP growth than the officially reported 6.9 percent for 3Q (and around 7 percent YTD), or of the amazing speed of rebalancing towards consumption and services? Most likely a combination of both: in China especially, such diametrically opposing phenomenon and trends seem to be the norm.
Meanwhile, the latest stronger-than-expected US jobs report has made a Fed rate hike in December probable, but uncertainties remain largely because of persistent soft inflation and inflation expectations.
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